Date: Friday, November 14, 2025
Kick-off: 7:45 PM
Venue: Stade de Luxembourg

The World Cup qualifiers roll on this Friday as Luxembourg welcome Germany to the Stade de Luxembourg. It’s a big night for both sides — one aiming to end a losing run, and the other looking to keep qualification hopes on track. So, what’s the Luxembourg vs Germany prediction looking like? Let’s dig in.

Luxembourg vs Germany Team News

Luxembourg

It’s been a rough few months for Luxembourg. They’ve lost four straight in Group A and haven’t scored in their last three matches. Their most recent outing — a 2-0 defeat to Slovakia — summed up their struggles. Despite having more of the ball (55% possession), they lacked cutting edge, with only two shots on target.

Adam Obert and Ivan Schranz found the net for Slovakia in that match, leaving the Red Lions searching for answers in both boxes. Defensive lapses have been costly, with Luxembourg conceding 11 goals in their last six games. There’s no sign of fresh injury boosts either, meaning they’ll likely stick with their current squad.

Germany

Julian Nagelsmann’s Germany are starting to find rhythm again. They head into this one off the back of a 1-0 win over Northern Ireland, with Nick Woltemade scoring the only goal. It was a solid, controlled performance — 68% possession, 11 shots, and a well-managed game from start to finish.

With Germany chasing qualification, Nagelsmann may rotate slightly. Given Woltemade’s workload, Jonathan Burkardt — who’s scored eight goals in 12 starts for Frankfurt — could get the nod up front. He’s in fine form and could be the danger man against Luxembourg’s struggling defence.

Likely Lineups

Luxembourg (4-4-2):
Moris; Jans, Chanot, Mahmutović, Carlson; Sinani, Barreiro, Martins, Thill; Borges Sanches, Rodrigues.

Germany (4-2-3-1):
Neuer; Raum, Rüdiger, Tah, Henrichs; Kimmich, Goretzka; Gnabry, Wirtz, Sané; Burkardt.

Luxembourg vs Germany Betting Tips

If you’re looking for value in this game, the trends point one way. Luxembourg haven’t scored in their last three matches and were thrashed 4-0 by Germany in the reverse fixture. Germany, meanwhile, have won three of their last four qualifiers and are clearly finding their feet again under Nagelsmann.

Tip: Germany to win to nil feels like the standout pick here. With Burkardt in form and Kimmich pulling strings, a comfortable away victory looks likely.

You could also consider Over 2.5 goals, given Germany’s attacking intent and Luxembourg’s defensive record.

Luxembourg vs Germany Match Prediction

Let’s be real — this one looks tough for Luxembourg. They’ve shown spirit, but the gulf in quality is hard to ignore. Germany are pressing higher, moving the ball quicker, and finally converting their chances.

With Kimmich and Gnabry involved, it’s hard to see Luxembourg keeping them out for 90 minutes. Expect the visitors to dominate possession again and keep the Red Lions pinned back.

Match Prediction: Germany to win. Bet with bet365.

Luxembourg vs Germany Correct Score Tips & Prediction

Luxembourg haven’t scored in three straight games, while Germany have nine goals in their last six. The reverse fixture ended 4-0 to Germany, and that trend could easily continue.

Correct Score Prediction: Luxembourg 0–3 Germany

It’s the kind of fixture where Germany’s depth and composure should shine through. Even if Luxembourg hang on early, once Germany get the first, more will follow.

Correct Score Prediction: Luxembourg 0–3 Germany. Bet with bet365.

Luxembourg vs Germany Over & Under Goals Betting Tips

• Over 2.5 Goals: Very likely — Germany’s attack is clicking, and Luxembourg concede often.
• Under 3.5 Goals: A safer shout if you think Germany might ease off once they’re ahead.
• Both Teams to Score: Unlikely. Luxembourg’s attack just isn’t firing.

So, if you’re picking one market, Over 2.5 Goals looks the best fit.

Over/Under Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals. Bet with bet365.

Luxembourg vs Germany Bet Builder Tip

Here’s a simple combo for this matchup:

• Germany to win
• Over 2.5 total goals
• Jonathan Burkardt to score anytime

That combination aligns nicely with the current form and player momentum.

Bet Builder Tip: Germany to win, Over 2.5 total goals, and Jonathan Burkardt to score anytime. Bet with bet365.

Key Stats

• Luxembourg have lost their last four qualifiers.
• The Red Lions have scored just once in this campaign.
• Germany have three wins in their last four matches.
• Jonathan Burkardt: 8 goals in 12 starts for Frankfurt.
• The last meeting ended Germany 4–0 Luxembourg.

Visit our football previews & predictions page for more betting tips on upcoming matches.

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