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Brentford vs Burnley Prediction Betting Tips & Preview

Brentford and Burnley meet on Saturday 29th November at 15:00 BST at the Brentford Community Stadium, and this one already feels like a big Premier League moment for both sides. With the hosts pushing to steady their season and the visitors desperate for points, you get a fixture packed with storylines. So, if you’re sizing up a Brentford vs Burnley prediction, here’s what you should know heading into matchday.


Brentford vs Burnley Team News

Brentford boss Keith Andrews goes into this game missing Antoni Milambo, Josh Dasilva, and Fábio Carvalho, all ruled out through long-term injuries. Despite those setbacks, the Bees have looked dangerous at home, and their attacking output hasn’t dropped off. The standout name is clear: Igor Thiago, already on 9 league goals, and in the kind of form that can trouble any Premier League defence, let alone one that has struggled like Burnley’s.

Burnley manager Scott Parker doesn’t have quite the same injury list, but form is the real concern. His side have conceded heavily in recent outings, letting in 2 or more goals in three straight matches, and the defensive lapses keep piling up. Burnley have also failed to keep a single clean sheet away from home this season.

Both sides are expected to stick with familiar shapes, but Brentford’s cohesion and Burnley’s ongoing instability make the team news feel far more positive for the hosts.


Likely Lineups

Brentford (4-2-3-1)

Kelleher; Kayode, Collins, Van den Berg, Ajer; Henderson, Yarmolyuk; Ouattara, Damsgaard, Schade; Thiago.

Burnley (4-2-3-1)

Dubravka; Walker, Tuanzebe, Estève, Hartman; Florentino Luís, Ugochukwu; Tchaouna, Cullen, Anthony; Flemming.


Brentford vs Burnley

If you’re judging this purely on home form, Brentford enter as the stronger side. They’ve played six home league games, winning four, drawing one, and losing only once. They’ve hit 12 goals at the Brentford Community Stadium and have scored in every match against teams below them in the table.

Burnley, on the other hand, sit 19th and have struggled badly on the road. They’ve already lost five away games, conceded 18, and found goals difficult to come by. Their record against teams above them is painful reading: 11 matches, 8 defeats, only 2 wins.

History leans slightly Burnley’s way, but the recent context is very different. Brentford look more stable, more fluid, and far more threatening in the final third.


Brentford vs Burnley Betting Tips

Here’s what stands out when you look at the numbers and the patterns:

1. Brentford to Win

The home side feel like the logical play. Their home record is solid, and with Thiago in this scoring form, they have the firepower to take control.

2. Both Teams to Score – Yes

Burnley might struggle, but they do tend to nick a goal. They’ve scored 9 away goals, and Brentford’s matches have produced 21 goals in their last six. You’d expect chances at both ends.

3. Over 2.5 Goals

This fixture brings goals historically, and both sides have been involved in high-scoring games recently.


Brentford vs Burnley Match Prediction

Well, when you weigh everything up — recent form, home advantage, goal threat, and Burnley’s ongoing defensive issues — Brentford look well-placed to take control of the match. They create chances consistently at home, and with Thiago leading the line, you’d back them to break through more than once.

Burnley should still have moments. They don’t always fold, and their wide players can stretch games. But sustaining pressure, especially away from home, has been their biggest weakness.

So, the expectation here is straightforward: Brentford to dictate the tempo, Burnley to chase, and the hosts to finish with a comfortable margin.

Match Prediction: Brentford to win. Bet with bet365.

Brentford vs Burnley Correct Score Tips & Prediction

A realistic scoreline for this matchup looks like 3-1 Brentford. The Bees have the goals in them, Burnley’s defence has been leaking regularly, and the pattern of both scoring but Brentford winning fits the season so far.

Correct Score Prediction: Brentford 3-1 Burnley. Bet with bet365.

Brentford vs Burnley Over & Under Goals Betting Tips

Over 2.5 Goals

Everything points to a game with chances. Brentford have been involved in matches averaging 3.5 goals recently, and Burnley have conceded 22 goals against teams above them.

Over 3.5 Goals (Riskier)

If you like a high-value angle, this isn’t a bad shout considering both teams’ wild defensive numbers.

Under 2.5 Goals

Hard to justify. Nothing in the recent meetings or form suggests a low-scoring match.

Over/Under Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals. Bet with bet365.

Brentford vs Burnley Bet Builder Tip

A simple but realistic combo:

  • Brentford to Win
  • Igor Thiago to Score Anytime
  • Over 2.5 Goals

It matches the numbers, the form, and how both teams tend to approach games.

Bet Builder Tip: Brentford to Win, Over 2.5 Goals, and Igor Thiago to Score Anytime. Bet with bet365.

Key Stats

  • Brentford are unbeaten in their last two home league games.
  • Burnley have conceded 2+ goals in three straight matches.
  • Brentford have scored in every game against teams below them in the table.
  • Burnley have lost 8 of 11 against teams above them.
  • Brentford’s top scorer Igor Thiago has 9 league goals.
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