Everton and Newcastle United meet in a Premier League clash that feels tighter than the table suggests, and this Everton vs Newcastle United prediction leans toward another low-scoring scrap between two sides still trying to find their attacking rhythm. With kick-off set for their upcoming league meeting at Goodison Park, you’re looking at a game where momentum swings, home form, and some stubborn defensive patterns could define the evening.

Everton vs Newcastle United Team News

Everton head into the match with almost a full squad available, which isn’t something David Moyes has been able to say very often. The only confirmed absentee is Jarrad Branthwaite, who remains out with a hamstring injury. Everyone else is fit and ready, giving Moyes the chance to keep the structure that’s made Everton tougher to beat in recent weeks.

The Toffees come into this one on the back of a gritty 0–1 win over Manchester United, a game where they had only 30% possession but made their single shot on target count. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall delivered the breakthrough, and Everton’s defensive shape did the rest. With three home wins, two draws, and only one defeat at Goodison so far, the confidence on home turf is definitely there.

Newcastle, meanwhile, have their own selection picture in place, and it’s surprisingly stable too. Eddie Howe is expected to stick with a 4-3-3 setup featuring Nick Pope, Valentino Livramento, Malick Thiaw, Fabian Schär, and Lewis Hall at the back. The midfield trio of Bruno Guimarães, Sandro Tonali, and Joelinton gives the Magpies physical presence, while Jacob Murphy, Nick Woltemade, and in-form Harvey Barnes bring energy going forward.

Newcastle’s biggest concern isn’t injuries — it’s their form away from home. They haven’t won in nine straight away league matches, losing their last three. They’ve also failed to score in three away fixtures this season, which is the sort of streak you can’t ignore in a matchup like this.

Likely Lineups

Everton Predicted XI (4-2-3-1)

Pickford; O’Brien, Tarkowski, Keane, Mykolenko; Garner, Iroegbunam; Ndiaye, Dewsbury-Hall, Grealish; Barry.

Newcastle United Predicted XI (4-3-3)

Pope; Livramento, Thiaw, Schär, Hall; Tonali, Guimarães, Joelinton; Murphy, Woltemade, Barnes.

Everton vs Newcastle United Betting Tips

1. Under 2.5 Goals

Everything about this matchup points to a cagey affair. Everton have scored only seven goals at home this season. Newcastle have scored just three goals in all their away league matches combined. Both teams average exactly 13 goals scored each across their first twelve games, which shows how limited their threat can be when they’re out of rhythm.

Everton’s home games tend to be narrow battles, while Newcastle’s away form heavily leans toward low margins. So under 2.5 goals makes sense here.

2. Both Teams to Score – No

Newcastle have failed to score in three away matches already, and Everton have kept three home clean sheets. With both sides preferring structure over risk, this could easily turn into a tight contest where one mistake makes the difference.

3. Draw Selection

Six of the last head-to-head meetings have been balanced, with both sides scoring six goals each and the results split evenly. When neither side is showing clear superiority, the draw becomes a practical angle.

Everton vs Newcastle United Match Prediction

This feels like a match where you expect effort, commitment, and a lot of midfield tussles — but not necessarily goals. Everton have been strong at home, while Newcastle simply can’t find a way to win on the road. At the same time, Everton don’t score enough to make you feel confident backing them to push for more than a single goal.

So the most realistic scenario? A tight contest where both sides find a moment but struggle to take control.

Match Prediction: Draw. Bet with bet365.

Everton vs Newcastle United Correct Score Tips & Prediction

A 1–1 scoreline feels the most natural given the patterns from both teams. Everton can edge games at Goodison but rarely run away with them. Newcastle tend to stay competitive but lack the away cutting edge.

Correct Score Prediction: Everton 1-1 Newcastle. Bet with bet365.

Everton vs Newcastle United Over & Under Goals Betting Tips

• Over 2.5 Goals – Avoid given how both sides have performed.
• Under 2.5 Goals – Strongest Pick
• Under 1.5 Goals – Value Option

Over/Under Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals. Bet with bet365.

Everton vs Newcastle United Bet Builder Tip

A simple, realistic builder based on form:

• Under 2.5 Goals
• William Osula 1+ shot on target
• Newcastle most shots on target

This keeps things grounded and supported by both sides’ season patterns.

Bet Builder Tip: Under 2.5 goals, Newcastle most shots on target, and William Osula 1+ shot on target. Bet with bet365.

Key Stats

• Everton home record: 3W, 2D, 1L, 7 goals scored, 5 conceded.
• Newcastle away record: 0 wins in 9, failed to score in 3, conceded 8.
• Both teams have scored 13 league goals this season.
• Last six head-to-head total goals: 12 (average of 2 per match).
• Everton unbeaten in last 4 league games vs Newcastle.

Visit our football previews & predictions page for more betting tips on upcoming matches.

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