Date: Wednesday, 5th November 2025
Kick-off: 17:30
Venue: Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium, Baku

The Champions League rolls into Azerbaijan as Qarabag host Chelsea in what promises to be a fascinating clash under the lights in Baku. For many fans, the Qarabag vs Chelsea prediction might seem straightforward on paper, but recent performances tell a more interesting story. Qarabag have already caused a few surprises this season, while Chelsea are finding their rhythm after a dominant display against Ajax. So, let’s break it all down — team news, lineups, and what you should expect from this one.

Qarabag vs Chelsea Team News

Qarabag come into this tie with plenty of belief, even after a tough 3-1 loss to Athletic Club last time out. Their Champions League campaign has been a real rollercoaster — wins over Benfica and FC København showed they can mix it with the big boys, but defensive lapses remain a concern. Coach Qurban Qurbanov has done wonders to get his side this far, and the passionate home crowd will be desperate to see another upset.

One potential worry is the fitness of Marko Janković, who’s been struggling to regain full sharpness. His absence would be a blow given his influence in midfield. Still, players like Kady Borges, Leandro Andrade, and Abdellah Zoubir are more than capable of causing problems in transition.

Chelsea, meanwhile, travel to Baku on a high after hammering Ajax 5-1 at Stamford Bridge. Vincenzo Maresca’s side were ruthless in that match — sharp pressing, slick movement, and real intent from the opening whistle. With players like Estêvão, Marc Guiu, and Jamie Gittens in attack, the Blues have no shortage of pace and creativity.
However, they’ll be without Levi Colwill and Liam Delap, both sidelined, but with the depth Chelsea boast, that shouldn’t change their approach much.

Likely Lineups

Qarabag (4-2-3-1)

Coach: Qurban Qurbanov
Starting XI:
Kochalski (GK); Matheus Silva, Mustafazada, Medina, Cafarquliyev; Pedro Bicalho, Kady Borges; Duran, Andrade, Zoubir; Akhundzade

Bench options: Mahammadaliyev, Buntic, Mmaee, Chriso, Jankovic, Addai, Bolt, Kashchuk, Bayramov, A. Huseynov, Cabrayilzada, B. Huseynov

Chelsea (4-3-3)

Coach: Vincenzo Maresca
Starting XI:
Jørgensen (GK); Caicedo, Fofana, Adarabioyo, Hato; Buonanotte, Lavia, Enzo Fernández; Estêvão, Guiu, Gittens

Bench options: Sánchez, Cucurella, James, Chalobah, Andrey Santos, Garnacho, Neto, Acheampong, Merrick

Qarabag vs Chelsea Betting Tips

If you’re trying to read the game, the first thing to note is momentum. Qarabag’s energy at home is always fierce, and they’ve shown they can score early — just ask Athletic Club, who were stunned in the first minute of their clash. So, a “Both Teams to Score” angle feels realistic here. Qarabag rarely park the bus, even against stronger sides.

Chelsea, though, are in a completely different gear right now. Their back-to-back Champions League wins, capped off by that demolition of Ajax, highlight their balance between attacking flair and midfield control. Estêvão looks in fantastic form, and with Enzo Fernández dictating tempo, it’s hard to see them not creating chances.

If you’re eyeing player-focused markets, Estêvão to score anytime feels like a solid shout — he’s confident, clinical, and always pops up in dangerous spaces.

Qarabag vs Chelsea Match Prediction

Qarabag will be bold. They’ll try to start fast, press high, and use their width through Zoubir and Andrade to stretch Chelsea’s backline. But sustaining that intensity for 90 minutes against Maresca’s side is a tall order. Chelsea’s technical quality, especially in midfield, should eventually take control of the game.

Expect Qarabag to make it tricky in patches, but Chelsea’s experience in Europe and superior squad depth should shine through as the match wears on. The Blues will likely dominate possession, and if they find an early goal, it could turn into another commanding performance.

Match Prediction: Chelsea to win. Bet with bet365.

Qarabag vs Chelsea Correct Score Tips & Prediction

Here’s what feels realistic: Qarabag won’t go down without a fight, especially at home. They’ve proven capable of scoring against quality opposition. But Chelsea just have too much in every department right now.

Predicted Score: Qarabag 1-3 Chelsea

That balance feels fair — Qarabag get their moment in front of their fans, but Chelsea’s quality tells in the end.

Correct Score Prediction: Qarabag 1-3 Chelsea. Bet with bet365.

Qarabag vs Chelsea Over & Under Goals Betting Tips

Given both teams’ attacking form, Over 2.5 Goals looks likely. Qarabag’s last five matches have all seen at least three goals, and Chelsea just hit Ajax for five. Maresca’s system encourages attacking risk, which leaves spaces at the back — and Qarabag love to exploit those.

So, the smart call here? Back goals. Plenty of them.

Over/Under Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals. Bet with bet365.

Qarabag vs Chelsea Bet Builder Tip

• Over 2.5 goals
• Estêvão to score anytime
• Chelsea to win

That’s a realistic combo based on both teams’ form and tactical tendencies. It covers the likely pattern of play — an open match with chances at both ends but Chelsea’s edge ultimately deciding it.

Bet Builder Tip: Chelsea to win, Over 2.5 goals, and Estêvão to score anytime. Bet with bet365.

Key Stats

• Qarabag have scored in four of their last five Champions League matches.
• Chelsea have won three straight Champions League games.
• Qarabag average 2.2 goals per game in the competition so far.
• Chelsea scored five goals in their last match and have conceded just twice in their last two European fixtures.

Visit our football previews & predictions page for more betting tips on upcoming matches.

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