Date: 04/10/25
Kick-off time: 15:00
Venue: Pride Park Stadium

Championship football returns to Pride Park as Derby County take on Southampton. Derby are still hunting for that first home win of the season, while Southampton arrive fresh from a confidence-boosting victory at Sheffield United. Both clubs have had a patchy start, so the big question is: who turns the corner this weekend?

Derby County vs Southampton Team News

Derby boss John Eustace has the rare luxury of a fully fit squad. No suspensions, no injury list. That means he can call on his strongest XI — with Carlton Morris leading the line and Ben Brereton Díaz desperate to get back on the scoresheet. Matt Clarke was the saviour against Charlton last week, and he’ll anchor the backline again.

Southampton manager Will Still is in the same boat — a clean bill of health. That means Ross Stewart, who fired in twice at Bramall Lane last time out, will lead the attack. Adam Armstrong adds creativity, while Finn Azaz and Tom Fellows provide the spark just behind. The Saints have had defensive wobbles this season, but having a settled lineup could help them tighten up.

Likely Lineups

Derby County: Zetterström; Johnston, Sanderson, Clarke, Elder; Adams, Travis; Agyemang, Clark, Brereton Díaz; Morris.

Southampton: McCarthy; Edwards, Wood, Quarshie, Manning; Jander, Charles; Fellows, Azaz, Armstrong; Stewart.

Derby County vs Southampton Betting Tips

Derby have been solid in possession but just aren’t ruthless enough in the final third. They average 0.8 goals per game across their last six. Southampton, on the other hand, have that little bit more quality up top and are scoring 1.3 per match.

Betting angles worth a look:

• Southampton to win & under 3.5 goals.
• Ross Stewart to score anytime.
• Both teams to score – no.

Derby’s record against Southampton isn’t great either — no wins in their last four league meetings.

Derby County vs Southampton Match Prediction

Southampton will look to frustrate Derby’s midfield, then hit quickly with Armstrong and Stewart. Derby’s fans will demand energy, but unless Morris and Brereton find form, it’s hard to see them breaking through.

My call? Southampton edge it. A narrow win that keeps their unbeaten run at Pride Park alive.

Match Prediction: Southampton to win. Bet with bet365.

Derby County vs Southampton Correct Score Tips & Prediction

I’m leaning towards a tight contest. Derby don’t score much at home, while Southampton aren’t free-flowing away.

Correct Score Prediction: Derby 0-1 Southampton. Bet with bet365.

Derby County vs Southampton Over & Under Goals Betting Tips

The numbers suggest a low-scoring clash. Derby games are averaging under 2 goals at home, and Southampton aren’t exactly blasting teams away on their travels.

• Tip: Under 2.5 goals.
• If you want a bolder play: Exact goals – 1.

Over/Under Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals. Bet with bet365.

Derby County vs Southampton Bet Builder Tip

Here’s a combo that fits how I see the match:

• Southampton to win
• Ross Stewart anytime scorer
• Under 3.5 goals

That feels like the safest blend of form and logic.

Bet Builder Tip: Southampton to win, Stewart to score, Under 3.5 goals. Bet with bet365.

Key Stats

• Derby are winless in their last seven home league games.
• Southampton have not lost away at Derby in their last four visits.
• The last six Derby games have produced just five goals for the Rams.
• Southampton have scored in five of their last six matches.

Visit our football previews & predictions page for more betting tips on upcoming matches.

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