Arne Slot surprised everybody by slotting into the huge shoes vacated by Jurgen Klopp last season, hitting the ground running to romp to the Premier League title with Liverpool.

Arsenal were, once again, the bridesmaids of the top flight, while defending three-peat champions Manchester City suffered their worst ever season under Pep Guardiola.

With the new campaign just a couple of weeks away, we continue our summer of season outrights with our Premier League outright winner prediction and our tips for European qualification.

Premier League outright winner betting odds

• Liverpool – 7/4

• Arsenal – 9/4

• Man City – 3/1

• Chelsea – 9/1

• Newcastle – 33/1

• Man Utd – 33/1

• Tottenham – 50/1

• Aston Villa – 66/1

*All odds correct as of 1st August, 2025 on bet365

Premier League outright winner prediction

Manchester City at 3/1

Liverpool were worthy winners of last season’s Premier League title, but Pep Guardiola rarely stays down for long, and the Spaniard could come roaring back to return Manchester City to the top of the pile this term.

As shown in the graph below, The Citizens’ third-placed finish and 71-point tally last season represents Guardiola’s worst-ever campaign in management, with only his maiden year in Manchester coming close.

It is just the second time he has finished outside the top two and the first time in his career that his side averaged fewer than two points per game, but Manchester City fans can point to several mitigating factors.

Arguably the most significant was Rodri’s cruciate ligament tear in September, resulting in the star midfielder being absent for almost eight months.

But Rodri was far from the only injury problem for Guardiola to deal with. Ranked by the percentage of total squad value unavailable through injury over last term, Manchester City were top of the pile with 22% of their on-field value absent.

This includes injuries of varying severity to Ederson, John Stones, Ruben Dias, Manuel Akanji, Nathan Ake, Kevin De Bruyne, and Erling Haaland.

Title-winners Liverpool, by contrast, had just 8% of their squad value injured.

Of course, with fixture congestion at an all-time high, injury prevalence may not improve, but the dethroned champions have made moves to strengthen their squad.

Summer signings Tijjani Reijnders, Rayan Ait-Nouri, Rayan Cherki, James Trafford, and teenager Sverre Nypan have joined January arrivals Omar Marmoush, Nico Gonzalez, Abdukodir Khusanov, and Vitor Reis.

With Kevin De Bruyne the only significant departure in this period, this represents a substantial expansion of the squad, which should help mitigate some of Guardiola’s ongoing fitness concerns.

Title rivals Liverpool and Arsenal have strengthened too, of course, but Guardiola has never gone two seasons in management without a league title, and I don’t see that run ending this year.

Liverpool’s capture of Bundesliga trio Florian Wirtz, Hugo Ekitike, and Jeremie Frimpong, along with left-back Milos Kerkez, should allow them to challenge at the top, and I see them coming home in second.

Runners-up in each of the last three seasons, Arsenal may be pushed to the bronze medal position, but they should be safe from being shunted further down the pecking order if they can get big-money striker Viktor Gyokeres firing on all cylinders, making a 20/1 tricast an appealing option.

Premier League 2025/26 Top 4 betting odds

• Liverpool – 1/9

• Arsenal – 2/11

• Man City – 1/4

• Chelsea – 8/13

• Newcastle – 2/1

• Man Utd – 4/1

• Aston Villa – 4/1

• Tottenham – 5/1

• Brighton – 16/1

*All odds correct as of 1st August, 2025 on bet365

Premier League 2025/26 Top 4 prediction

Chelsea to finish in the top 4 at 8/13

After a couple of transitional seasons following Roman Abramovich’s sale of the club, Chelsea returned to the Premier League top four last season under the guidance of Enzo Maresca, and the Blues only look to be on an upward trajectory.

They have once again proved one of the best clubs at selling players in the league, bringing in well over £100 million in transfer fees and only losing one regular starter – Noni Madueke – in the process.

That outlay has paved the way for a major improvement of their attacking setup, with Joao Pedro, Jamie Gittens, Liam Delap, and Estevao arriving.

This should be more than enough to secure a top-four berth, especially with Newcastle looking likely to lose Alexander Isak.

Premier League 2025/26 top 6 betting odds

• Newcastle – 8/15

• Man Utd – 10/11

• Tottenham – 13/8

• Aston Villa – 6/4

• Brighton – 5/1

• Nottm Forest – 8/1

• Bournemouth – 8/1

• Crystal Palace – 9/1

*All odds correct as of 1st August, 2025 on bet365

Premier League 2025/26 top 6 prediction

Aston Villa to finish in the top 6 at 6/4

It has been a relatively quiet summer at Villa Park, but Unai Emery has proven his current squad’s worth and can achieve a third successive top-six finish this term.

The Spanish manager took charge of an Aston Villa side sitting 16th in November 2022, and his impact was instant as he took the Villans to a seventh-place finish, despite their miserable start to the campaign.

He returned them to the Champions League with a fourth-place finish the following season, before missing out on successive Champions League qualifications on goal difference last term.

With Nottingham Forest unlikely to replicate last season’s heroics and both Manchester United and Tottenham facing a long road back after dreadful campaigns, the door is open for Villa to put in another strong showing.

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