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Inter Milan v Feyenoord
Kick Off: Tuesday 11th March at 20:00
Competition: Champions League
What TV Channel: TNT Sports 2
Inter Milan host Feyenoord in the second leg of their UCL Round of 16 matchup. With a 2-0 lead and the advantage of playing at home, they appear to be in full control and on course for the quarter-finals.
Inter Milan v Feyenoord Best Bet
Inter have conceded just one goal across nine Champions League games this season, boasting an impressive defensive record of 0.11 goals per game. In the first leg, Feyenoord struggled to create meaningful chances at home, managing only one big chance and an expected goals (xG) tally of just 0.45. Now, with a two-goal cushion, Inter can adopt an even more secure defensive approach, further limiting Feyenoord’s opportunities. Additionally, Feyenoord have found the net just three times in their last five matches across all competitions, highlighting their poor goalscoring form.
Inter Milan v Feyenoord ABC Exclusive Boost
Inter have been the most defensively solid teams in the Champions League, conceding just one goal in nine matches (0.11 per game). They completely nullified Feyenoord’s attack in the first leg, allowing just 0.45 xG. Feyenoord have also been struggling in attack in general recently and they’ve scored just 7 in their last 8 league games, despite the lower quality opposition compared to Inter. To add to this with a 2-0 lead and playing at home, Inter can afford to take an even more disciplined approach, not needing to commit men forward and therefore reducing Feyenoord’s already limited attacking threat. Inter have averaged just 1.44 goals per game in the Champions League, showing they are often restrained in attack, especially in high-stakes matches. With a comfortable aggregate lead, they have no reason to push forward aggressively in the opening 45 minutes. Feyenoord, despite their attacking numbers, struggled in the first leg and will find it difficult to break down Inter early. Additionally, Inter have allowed just 3.00 shots on target per game in Europe, meaning clear-cut chances will be hard to come by, particularly in the first half when Feyenoord will likely have a more measured approach. Feyenoord have averaged 2.55 yellow cards per game in the Champions League, higher than Inter’s 2.0. With the Dutch side needing to chase the game, they are likely to be more aggressive, leading to more fouls and disciplinary action. Inter, on the other hand, are experienced in managing European knockout ties and are unlikely to commit unnecessary challenges, particularly with a lead to protect. Feyenoord also committed far more fouls in the first leg – 15 compared to Inter’s 6, and there seems no reason for this to change dramatically in the second leg.
Inter Milan v Feyenoord Predicted XI
Inter Milan v Feyenoord Players to Watch
Marcus Thuram
These odds offer strong value for Thuram. He is Inter’s top scorer in Serie A and leads the team in goal contributions across all competitions. Only Lautaro Martínez has recorded more shots and shots on target for Inter, yet the odds don’t seem to reflect Thuram’s attacking threat. While there’s a possibility he could be rested, this seems unlikely given that Marko Arnautović started at the weekend, allowing Thuram to remain fresh for this crucial clash. Feyenoord have conceded an average of 1.82 goals per game in the Champions League and will likely be forced to take risks defensively as they push forward in search of a comeback, leaving space for Inter’s forwards to exploit.
Jakub Moder
Moder managed two shots in the first leg, with one hitting the target. Despite Feyenoord’s struggles in creating clear-cut chances, they still registered a number of shots on target from distance – five of them coming from around the edge of the box. Moder, who averages roughly one shot per game, primarily attempts efforts from range, which aligns with Feyenoord’s best method of breaking down Inter’s defence. Given their difficulty in generating high-quality chances, long-range shooting could once again be a key strategy, making this a solid value bet.
Inter Milan v Feyenoord Cheat Sheet
Cheat Sheet pending…
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Inter Milan v Feyenoord Streaks
These are team selections that have landed in the last five Champions League games 
Feyenoord opponents 12+ shots
Feyenoord opponents 5+ shots on target (6+ in 4/5)
Feyenoord opponents 4+ corners
Feyenoord 1+ cards
Feyenoord opponents 1+ cards (2+ in 4/5)
Inter 2+ cards
Inter Milan v Feyenoord Hit Rates
These are player selections that have landed in each of the last five Champions League games
Hwang In-Beom 1+ fouls committed
Nieuwkoop 1+ fouls committed
Timber 1+ fouls committed
Milambo 1+ fouls won
Nieuwkoop 1+ tackles
Dumfries 1+ fouls committed
Zielinski 1+ fouls won
Inter Milan v Feyenoord Ref Watch
- Referee – Ivan Kruzliak
| Average Cards (Y / R) | 4.63 / 0.00 |
| Fouls Given | 24.38 |
| Penalties | 0.13 |
Football Predictions at Andy’s Bet Club
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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