Bayern’s dominance in the corner count is well-documented, ranking 2nd in the Bundesliga with an average of 6.63 corners per game. However, this figure rises to 7.78 at the Allianz Arena across all competitions and further increases to 8.3 in European fixtures. Impressively, Bayern have managed at least four corners in all 10 of their European outings, notching five or more in nine of those and at least seven in seven of these games.

While Leverkusen have been relatively disciplined in limiting corners, conceding just 4.28 per game away from home, dropping to 2.75 in European matches, historical head-to-head data favours Bayern. In their last seven home meetings against Leverkusen, Bayern have averaged 7.57 corners per game, reaching at least six in each of those encounters.

Leverkusen are typically one of the Bundesliga’s more disciplined sides, averaging just 9.33 fouls per game. However, their European matches tell a different story, where their foul count rises to 10.63 per game, having committed 10 or more fouls in six of their eight continental fixtures.

Although Bayern’s opponents have drawn 10+ fouls in just eight of their 18 home games this season, Leverkusen’s disciplinary record against the German giants is significantly worse. Across their last 14 meetings with Bayern, Leverkusen have averaged 12.86 fouls per game, committing 10+ fouls in 12 of those matches, making this bet a strong value play.

In his first season for Munich, Michael Olise has added a dynamic edge to Bayern’s attacking arsenal. His pace, movement, and sharp instincts in front of goal are undeniable, evidenced by his 2.42 shots per game average this season.

Olise has managed two or more shots in 13 out of 14 starts, picking up six goals along the way. Olise amassed three shots in their Bundesliga clash at the Allianz earlier in the season, demonstrating his ability to test the goalkeeper.

As mentioned above, Leverkusen are one of the most disciplined Bundesliga sides, yet that discipline is often tested against elite opposition. Xhaka averages exactly a foul per game but has committed at least one foul in seven of his last nine matches.

With Bayern’s technical midfielders, particularly Musiala who draws 2.29 fouls per game, Xhaka is expected to be heavily involved defensively. His foul counts across his last five matches v Bayern read: 1, 3, 1, 3, 2.

Despite maintaining a relatively clean disciplinary record in the Bundesliga (1.75 cards per game), Leverkusen’s aggression increases in high-stakes encounters, averaging 1.88 cards per game in Europe. Five of their eight European matches have seen them pick up two or more bookings.

Additionally, Bayern’s opponents have received two or more cards in 11 of their 18 home games this season, including in three out of their five European home fixtures. Given that Leverkusen have also received at least two cards in each of their last six head-to-head meetings with Bayern, this trend is likely to continue.

Despite Bayern being heavy favourites, Leverkusen have proven to be a formidable opponent, particularly under Xabi Alonso. Bayern have already hosted Leverkusen twice this season, failing to win either encounter (one draw, one loss).

While Leverkusen have lost their last two Champions League away games, they remain a tough opponent on the road, entering this fixture on an eight-game unbeaten run (five wins, three draws) and an incredible 29-match unbeaten streak in Bundesliga away fixtures.

Alonso has also never lost to Bayern as a manager, boasting an unbeaten record in six meetings (three wins, three draws). His tactical acumen has consistently troubled the Bavarians, making the double chance a valuable selection.

Schick has seamlessly filled the void left by the injured Victor Boniface, continuing his fine goal-scoring form. Despite averaging just 2.28 shots per game, his clinical finishing has propelled him to 20 goals this season, with five goals in his last five starts.

With Leverkusen’s ability to trouble Bayern and Schick’s exceptional form, he presents excellent value in the anytime goalscorer market.

Jamal Musiala’s dynamic attacking prowess ensures he is a magnet for opposition defenders, consistently drawing fouls due to the threat he poses. The young midfield sensation leads Bayern in this category, averaging 2.29 fouls drawn per game this season, a figure that climbs to nearly 2.87 when he plays a full 90.

His ability to unsettle defences is evident in his recent form, where he has drawn two or more fouls in 11 of his last 14 starts. Moreover, Musiala’s history in this fixture underscores his influence, having drawn an incredible 22 combined fouls in his last four games against Leverkusen.