Auston Trusty to Commit 1+ Fouls @ 2.40 on Paddy Power
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Gem Bet: Auston Trusty to Commit 1+ Fouls (v Bayern Munich)
Priced at 2.40 with Paddy Power to commit at least 1 foul, this particular selection presents striking value, especially considering bet365’s odds of 1.73 – while we can benefit from Super Sub on Paddy Power.
In Champions League matches, Trusty’s fouls committed rate escalates to 0.87 per 90 minutes compared to 0.54 for the season, having committed 6 fouls across his last 4 European appearances.
Notably, he has committed at least 1 foul in all 4 of those games, including in the reverse fixture against Bayern last week.
Trusty is likely to be heavily involved defensively – with Bayern priced at 1.14 to win the match.
His direct matchups present serious challenges:
Harry Kane: Averages 0.89 fouls drawn per 90 minutes.
Jamal Musiala: Operating just behind Kane, draws 3.09 fouls per 90 minutes.
2.40 with Super Sub is too big of a price to refuse on a bet that has landed in the defender’s last 4 Champions League appearances.
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