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Aston Villa v West Ham
Kick Off: Friday 10th January at 20:00
Competition: FA Cup
Aston Villa continued their strong run of form with a hard-fought 2-1 victory against Leicester in their most recent outing. Unai Emery’s side has now won 5 of their last 8 matches, demonstrating a newfound consistency that has pushed them up the Premier League table.
In contrast, West Ham come into this clash on the back of two bruising defeats—a 5-0 humiliating home drubbing by Liverpool followed by a 4-1 loss to Manchester City, which meant the end of Julen Lopetegui’s time in charge of the club.
These results highlight the defensive frailties of the side, which will be further tested with the absence of their star man, Jarrod Bowen, due to injury. Graham Potter will be in the dugout for this one, having been appointed as the new West Ham manager on Thursday morning.
Meanwhile, Aston Villa will welcome Morgan Rogers back from suspension, adding an extra dimension to their attack as they look to extend their unbeaten streak against West Ham.
Aston Villa v West Ham Best Bet
Mohammed Kudus is expected to shoulder much of West Ham’s attacking burden in the absence of Jarrod Bowen. The Ghanaian has been one of West Ham’s standout players this season, averaging an impressive 1.07 shots on target per 90 minutes.
Kudus has hit the target in 4 of his last 7 matches, showcasing his ability to test goalkeepers with powerful and accurate strikes. His tendency to shoot from distance and his ability to exploit defensive gaps make him a key player for the Hammers.
Kudus is likely to see plenty of opportunities to threaten the goal against an Aston Villa defence that can be vulnerable to moments of brilliance. At odds of 1.83, backing him to register at least one shot on target is a smart and value-packed option.
Aston Villa v West Ham Predicted XI
Aston Villa v West Ham Players to Watch
Morgan Rogers
Morgan Rogers will return to the Villa lineup fresh after serving a suspension, making him a player to keep an eye on. Despite averaging 0.52 shots on target per 90 minutes this season, Rogers has managed to hit the target in 4 of his last 7 starts, suggesting an uptick in form.
Additionally, the versatile forward averages 1.99 shots per 90 minutes, underlining his willingness to take on defenders and create scoring opportunities. Over his last seven appearances, he has tallied 16 shots, recording multiple attempts in 5 of those games.
Given West Ham’s recent defensive struggles and their tendency to concede early, Rogers is likely to get his share of chances. Backing him for at least one shot on target at 1.62 or multiple shots at 1.22 both represent strong value bets.
Tomas Soucek
Tomas Soucek has been a key figure for West Ham in both midfield battles and attacking situations. His disciplinary record, however, makes him a standout candidate in the fouls market. The Czech international has committed 12 fouls in his last 5 matches, averaging multiple fouls in 4 of those outings.
At odds of 1.80, backing him to commit at least 2 fouls against Villa’s energetic midfield seems a solid bet. Soucek also offers value in the shots market. Averaging 2.23 shots per 90 minutes, he has managed 17 attempts in his last 8 games, registering 2 or more shots in 4 of his last 5 appearances.
His aerial presence and ability to find space in attacking positions make him a consistent threat, especially from set pieces. At 1.83 for 2 shots, Soucek is worth considering for those looking to capitalise on his involvement in both defensive and attacking phases.
Aston Villa v West Ham Cheat Sheet
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Aston Villa v West Ham Form and Tactics
Aston Villa and West Ham present an intriguing clash of styles. Villa edges the attacking stats, averaging more goals per game (1.50 to 1.18) and hitting the target slightly more often (4.46 to 4.27). However, West Ham actually attempt more shots overall, averaging 14.5 per game compared to Villa’s 13.
The key difference lies in Villa’s ability to win fouls, averaging 12.57 per match compared to West Ham’s 9.77. This statistic can largely be attributed to Villa’s greater possession dominance, which often forces opponents into defensive errors.
On the discipline front, West Ham averages slightly more fouls (11.68 to 11.29) and bookings (2.23 to 2.03), which could provide an avenue for tactical fouling markets in this matchup.
Aston Villa v West Ham Ref Watch
- Referee: Tim Robinson
- Robinson has distributed 17 cards in his last 5 matches, an average of 3.4 cards per game.
- He has shown 1 red card in his last 20 matches.
- There has been an average of 19.4 fouls per game during his last 10 games.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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