No team in Serie A have scored more goals than Atalanta’s 42 this season, whilst their games have also produced the joint-most of any Italian side, averaging 3.59. This selection has been a winner in 4 of their last 5 matches, over which period 4.2 goals was the average. Additionally, 71% of their league games to date have seen 3 or more goals scored.

Lazio’s matches have produced the 4th most goals in the league, averaging a similarly high 3.29 goals per game. 14 of their 17 league games have produced at least 3 goals, with only those against Napoli, Juventus and Monza failing to do so. Notably, these opponents represent some of the league’s most defensive sides in stark contrast to how Atalanta will set up.

Of the 11 most recent meetings between Lazio and Atalanta, 8 have seen the net ripple at least 3 times.

Inter enter this clash in the midst of an unbelievable run of form with the Nerazzurri unbeaten in 11 league games, having picked up 9 wins in that stretch. They’ve won each of their last 4 in the league, all by a 2-goal or greater margin, scoring 13 goals and conceding just 1. Having won 5 of the last 6 against this opposition, it’d be a huge surprise if Inter weren’t able to take all 3 points home from Sardinia.

Things haven’t gone quite as smoothly for Cagliari who sit inside the relegation zone having picked up just 14 points this season. They’ve lost each of their last 3 including a disappointing defeat to Venezia last time out who were, at the time, rock-bottom. With 6 losses and just a solitary win in their most recent 9, if Davide Nicola’s men were to halt Inter it’d certainly come as a shock to most.

AVS’s matches have been consistently low-scoring affairs this season, averaging just 2.2 goals scored in each. The bulk of those goals were conceded, with AVS themselves finding the back of the net a mere 11 times in 15 games. None of their last 5 have produced over 2 goals, in fact, just 5 shots found their way past the keeper across the period.

It’s been a similar story in the case of Estrela who’ve also struggled in front of goal, having scored just 14 this season. 4 of their last 5 games have seen 2 or fewer goals scored, averaging 1.8 per match. The expected goals suggest this is a fair summary of how those games have gone with not 1 of them exceeding 2.5 xG. In fact, just 3 of their 15 games have exceeded this figure and only 1 has surpassed the 3 xG mark.

Estoril Praia’s matches have been more active, averaging 2.4 goals scored but this figure rises drastically to 3.5 when considering only their last 6 games. 5 of those have produced over 1.5 goals, the exception being the aforementioned defensive outfit, AVS. This anomaly also represents Estoril Praia’s only game in which under 1.5 xG was accumulated, with the other 14 all surpassing this figure.

Moreirense’s 15 league matches have averaged a healthy 2.73 goals scored with 11 seeing at least 2 goals scored. 4 of their last 5 have seen the net ripple at least 3 times, allowing sufficient leeway for this selection which requires just 2 goals.

This selection has been a winner in 5 of the last 7 clashes between these sides including both meetings last season, which produced a combined total of 7 goals.